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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2025

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 54.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 35.5 minutes per game this year.

When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 117.2 points per game rates 5th-most in the NBA this year.

This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a positive matchup.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Celtics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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