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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has compiled 4.7 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the NBA by this standard recently: 89th percentile.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 34.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 95th percentile.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

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