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Jaxson Hayes

Jaxson Hayes Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Jaxson Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jaxson Hayes slots into the 98th percentile for field goal proficiency when playing at home with a stellar 73.3% rate this year.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
  • The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when Gobert is on the road other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.2 free throws per game (100th percentile).
  • Jaxson Hayes should see an increase in output in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Jaxson Hayes ranks in the 5th percentile for three-point proficiency with a weak 0.0% rate this year.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jaxson Hayes rates in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
  • The clash with Rudy Gobert measures in the 6th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs making only 50.0% of their field goals this year.
  • The 5th-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Lakers.
  • The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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