Javon Small Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2026

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Javon Small

NBA · Player Props

Javon Small

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 12, 2026

Updated Mar 12, 2026 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Javon Small Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Javon Small has compiled 13.2 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.3 higher than he's compiled overall this year at home.
The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's unimpressive 46.3% field goal rate ranks 9th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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