Javon Small Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2026

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Javon Small

NBA · Player Props

Javon Small

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 27, 2026

Updated Feb 28, 2026 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Javon Small Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Javon Small has put up 14.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's put up in all games this season.
When it comes to scoring, the Grizzlies's outstanding 119.4 points per game comes in as the 6th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.8).
The Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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