Jarrett Allen Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:47 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has totaled an impressive 3.6 offensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 3.1 offensive rebounds per game last year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have nabbed 9.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jarrett Allen has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Cavaliers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Jarrett Allen will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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