Jarrett Allen Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2023

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 13, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 1:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has put up 3.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Jarrett Allen lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 32.1 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The 7th-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Cavaliers.
This year, the other team has brought down 8.1 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 6thworst in in the NBA as the road team with only 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Jarrett Allen will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player production across the board.

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