Jarrett Allen Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 7:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has posted 4.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's posted over the course of the season on the road.
Jarrett Allen has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jarrett Allen has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jarrett Allen will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance across the board.

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