Jarrett Allen Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has posted 4.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 0.6 higher than he's posted in all games this season on the road.
Jarrett Allen has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
Jarrett Allen will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance across the board.

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