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Jarrett Allen

Jarrett Allen Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2025

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-139/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen lands in the 99th percentile for shooting effectiveness with an excellent 70.4% rate this year.

Jarrett Allen has averaged 28.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile.

The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc converted against Al Horford has been quite high (41.7%) when he is playing at home and defending fellow starting Cs this year (89th percentile).

The 6th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Cavaliers.

The Cavaliers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen measures in the 6th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, logging 0.1 per game this year.

The Cavaliers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics).

As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: 6th-worst in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home, tallying a mere 20.1 foul shot attempts per game.

The matchup against Al Horford is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.5 free throws per game (17th percentile).

Jarrett Allen will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decrease stat production across the board.

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