Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2024

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 6, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has successfully made 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Jarrett Allen has averaged 31.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Cavaliers check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Anthony Davis is a strong one for treys; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have averaged a monstrous 0.9 three-point shots per game (97th percentile).
The Cavaliers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 10.0% mark, Jarrett Allen's 3-point ability has declined this year to 0.0%.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Anthony Davis is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when Davis is at home and guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game (3rd percentile).
Jarrett Allen will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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