Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 3:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has notched 20.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's notched overall this year.
Jarrett Allen has averaged 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to three-point attempts.
The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should increase opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Jarrett Allen has attempted 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Favors Under

Jarrett Allen has converted a measly 0.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.0 rate last year.
The showdown with Jonas Valanciunas ranks in the 13th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring just 0.4 three-pointers per game this year when they are playing on the road.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Jarrett Allen will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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