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Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the league, Jarrett Allen places in the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 30.7 minutes per game this year.The rate of field goals hit against Wendell Carter Jr. has been very high (68.8%) when he is away from his home court and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).Away from home, the Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).Jarrett Allen has made 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.2 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season on his home court.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jarrett Allen has converted a measly 0.0% of his treys this year, quite a bit less than his 10.0 rate last year.The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game.Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 25.4 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.
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