Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 3:53 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has successfully made 64.9% of his shots from the field while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
Jarrett Allen has averaged 29.7 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
In regard to scoring, the Cleveland Cavaliers's remarkable 120.0 points per game settles in as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 10 games.
The number of shot attempts from the field against Brook Lopez has been remarkably high (11.9 per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 10.0% rate, Jarrett Allen's 3-point performance has regressed this season to 0.0%.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA as the road team this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with a mere 10.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (preserving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Brook Lopez has been remarkably low this year (2.6 foul shots per game: 3rd percentile).