Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:40 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jarrett Allen ranks in the 96th percentile for field goal efficiency with a an excellent 67.5% rate this year.
The 10th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 7.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (30th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen comes in at the 5th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a subpar 10.0% rate since the start of last season.
Jarrett Allen has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
The Cavaliers check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year.
This year, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied 5.3 shots made from the field per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Hawks, branding this as a hard matchup.
The Hawks have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).