Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 12:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 62.3% clip, Jarrett Allen's scoring efficiency has surged this year to 68.1%.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers rank 7thbest in in the league when playing at home with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Jarrett Allen has attempted 4.3 free throws per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.7 rate last year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen ranks in the 6th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a poor 10.0% rate since the start of last season.
In comparison to last year's 32.5 mark, Jarrett Allen's playing time has regressed this year to 27.4 minutes per game.
The Cavaliers rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one; they have given up the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (12.4).
The Cavaliers have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.

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