Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 1:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has successfully made a whopping 70.3% of his shots from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 62.3 rate last year.
In terms of scoring, the Cleveland Cavaliers's outstanding 48.9% field goal percentage away from home settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have nabbed 9.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).
Relative to last year's 2.7 rate, Jarrett Allen's number of free throw attempts has increased this year to 5.3 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

Jarrett Allen has sunk 10.0% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, putting him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jarrett Allen has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
This matchup is a good one for three-point shots; when the Heat have the home court advantage, opposing squads have put up the 3rd-highest three percentage in the NBA against them this year (38.5%).
This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have posted 11.8 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.
The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games.