Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has successfully made 6.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (3.3).
The Raptors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 8 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.8 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jarrett Allen has sunk 10.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, placing him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jarrett Allen has tallied just 27.9 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 32.5 minutes per game last year.
When it comes to offense, the Cavaliers's subpar 108.0 points per game as the visting team rates 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The 9th-slowest pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

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