Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jarrett Allen measures in the 91st percentile for field goal prowess with a a great 62.6% rate since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 6thbest in in the league on their home court with 11.8 offensive boards per game this year.
When playing on the road, the Heat have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Jarrett Allen has attempted 4.8 foul shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.1 mark last year.
Jarrett Allen is expected to see a spike in performance for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jarrett Allen places in the 6th percentile for three-point ability at home with a a poor 10.0% rate since the start of last season.
In contrast to last season's 32.5 rate, Jarrett Allen's playing time has decreased this season to 27.6 minutes per game.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Miami Heat are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 13th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (8.9).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.