Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 1:23 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has sunk 62.6% of his shots from the field since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Jarrett Allen has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
As it relates to shooting, the Cavaliers's terrific 48.3% field goal percentage as the visting team settles in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Warriors are the visiting team, the other team has put up the 7th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (33.8%).
The matchup vs. Golden State is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 29th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.7).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen rates in the 6th percentile for three-point proficiency while playing at home with a a bad 10.0% rate since the start of last season.
The Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 7th-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Warriors).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on the road with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have snagged 11.1 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (maintaining possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).
Jarrett Allen will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production across the board.