Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:28 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has made 62.5% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jarrett Allen has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
In terms of shooting, the Cleveland Cavaliers's stellar 48.5% field goal rate measures as the 7th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a good one for scoring; when the Thunder are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have posted the 30th-highest FG% in the NBA since the start of last season (63.5%).
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 10th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen places in the 6th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a a poor 10.0% rate since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the league on their home court with only 9.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
At home, the Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jarrett Allen will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production for all stats.