Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has sunk 84.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 15.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Jarrett Allen has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jarrett Allen has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Jarrett Allen has attempted 0.2 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (10.0).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.

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