Jarrett Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 12:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarrett Allen has sunk 84.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
Jarrett Allen has played 32.0 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Denver is a good one; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs over the last 15 games (15.3).
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jarrett Allen has successfully made 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc while at home this year, ranking in the 5th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.
The matchup against the Nuggets may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game over the last 25 games (8th-least in the NBA).

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