Jarrett Allen Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 12:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 4thbest in in the NBA as the away team with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.
This year, opposing squads have secured 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jarrett Allen has played a measly 27.8 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 32.5 minutes per game last season.
Jarrett Allen has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.2 fouls per game last year.
The 4th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).
Jarrett Allen will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease stat production across the board.

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