Jarrett Allen Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Jarrett Allen

NBA · Player Props

Jarrett Allen

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Jarrett Allen Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 6thbest in in the league on their home court with 11.8 offensive boards per game this year.
When playing on the road, the Heat have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Jarrett Allen is expected to see a spike in performance for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 32.5 rate, Jarrett Allen's playing time has decreased this season to 27.6 minutes per game.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from facing the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat).

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