Jarred Vanderbilt Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 16, 2023

Updated May 17, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-123/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarred Vanderbilt has posted 2.3 offensive rebounds per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while on the road this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (80th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Lakers.
Jarred Vanderbilt will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsens stat production across the board.

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