Jarred Vanderbilt Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 4, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarred Vanderbilt has tallied 2.3 offensive rebounds per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the season on the road.
The Warriors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jarred Vanderbilt will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance across the board.

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