Jarred Vanderbilt Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 19, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-148/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to boost plays for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has put up a measly 2.1 offensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.8 offensive rebounds per game last year.
Jarred Vanderbilt has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
Playing at home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jarred Vanderbilt will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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