Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+112/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from competing against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Jarred Vanderbilt has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 37.5% more than he's sunk overall this season at home.
As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line while on their home court: 3rd-best in the league this year, tallying 24.2 foul shots per game.
Jarred Vanderbilt will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to raise stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has made 38.3% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 5.8% less than he's made overall this season.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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