Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2025

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 19, 2025

Updated Mar 20, 2025 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Jarred Vanderbilt has made a lowly 42.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 63.5 mark last year.
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Lakers's terrific 24.5 free throws per game while playing at home comes in as the best in the NBA this year.
Jarred Vanderbilt will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jarred Vanderbilt slots into the 22nd percentile for shots from the field, logging 3.3 per game this year.
The 7th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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