Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers rank 6thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 9 games.
The Toronto Raptors have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Raptors may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; their opposition has attempted just 18.5 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has logged just 2.4 points per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 7.3 points per game last season.
In comparison to last year's 21.7% mark, Jarred Vanderbilt's three-point proficiency has decreased this year to 5.0%.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has put up 122.6 points per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, creating a strong matchup for offensive output.
Compared to last season's 1.7 rate, Jarred Vanderbilt's number of free throw attempts has dropped this season to 0.2 free throw attempts per game.