Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-108/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarred Vanderbilt has successfully made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 33.3% higher than he's made from three overall this year when playing at home.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have put up 106.2 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Clippers, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The Lakers have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.
As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line: 6th-best in the NBA this year, drawing 24.5 foul shots per game.
Jarred Vanderbilt will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to improve player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has compiled just 2.4 points per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 7.3 points per game last season.
The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
The Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Clippers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jarred Vanderbilt has attempted a mere 0.3 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 1.7 rate last season.