Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarred Vanderbilt has tallied 22.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
In terms of scoring, the Lakers's remarkable 118.8 points per game comes in as the 8th-most in the league over the last 5 games.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on the road.
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (24th-highest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has converted a mere 29.1% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 52.6 rate last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jarred Vanderbilt registers in the 8th percentile for three-point efficiency while playing away from home with a a subpar 0.0% rate this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 3.4 three attempts per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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