Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the league this year (the Spurs).
The Spurs have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jarred Vanderbilt rates in the 10th percentile for 3-point prowess while playing at home with a a weak 21.1% rate since the start of last season.
Jarred Vanderbilt has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have averaged 38.9% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, resulting in a positive matchup.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jarred Vanderbilt registers in the 19th percentile for free-throw ability while playing at home with a an unimpressive 67.1% rate since the start of last season.

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