Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lakers rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace away offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).
On the road, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jarred Vanderbilt rates in the 10th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a poor 21.1% rate since the start of last season.
Jarred Vanderbilt has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (78th percentile).
This matchup is a favorable one for threes; opposing clubs have shot for the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (38.8%).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the league away from their home court with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Jarred Vanderbilt registers in the 19th percentile for foul-shot performance without the home court advantage with a a feeble 67.1% rate since the start of last season.

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