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Jarred Vanderbilt

Jarred Vanderbilt Points
Player Prop - 5/20/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jarred Vanderbilt has attempted 1.3 three-pointers per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.2 mark last year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (30th-most in the NBA).

Jarred Vanderbilt will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jarred Vanderbilt has made a mere 52.9% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 59.5 mark last season.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.2).

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Away from their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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