Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 5/8/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 8, 2023

Updated May 9, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarred Vanderbilt has attempted 1.3 treys per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.2 rate last season.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Warriors is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.8).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Lakers.

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has successfully made a mere 53.6% of his field goal attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 59.5 rate last year.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Warriors may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the league).

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