Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 28, 2023

Updated Apr 29, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Jarred Vanderbilt will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has made 22.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a challenging one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (13.7).
The Grizzlies have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game this year (12th-least in the NBA).

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