Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 26, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarred Vanderbilt has made 54.8% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Jarred Vanderbilt has sunk 86.1% of his free throws over the last 15 games on the road, 19.4% more than he's made overall this season away from his home court.

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a hard one; they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (13.7).
Playing at home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Memphis is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.7 foul shots per game this year when the Grizzlies are playing at home (14th-least in the league).