Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 24, 2023

Updated Apr 25, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jarred Vanderbilt has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 32.6% higher than he's converted in all games this season.
Jarred Vanderbilt will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has successfully made 22.3% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a difficult one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 14th-least buckets per game in the league this year (4.9).
The Grizzlies have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.8 free throws per game this year (13th-least in the league).