Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 19, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarred Vanderbilt has converted 55.3% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to boost plays for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (13.3).
Playing at home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jarred Vanderbilt has converted 66.0% of his foul shots while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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