Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 8:46 PM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for attempts from downtown; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.4).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Away from their home court, the Warriors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Warriors is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 3.3 free throws per game this year (25th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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