Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarred Vanderbilt has successfully made 53.6% of his shots from the field when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jarred Vanderbilt has attempted 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.8 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
The Utah Jazz have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (which also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing teams have compiled the 6th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (46.4%).

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has successfully made 25.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile among all players in the league.
Jarred Vanderbilt has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a mere 25.8 foul shots per game this year on his home court (3rd-least in the league).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league since the start of last season away from home.