Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2022

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz · Dec 30, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarred Vanderbilt has successfully made 58.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jarred Vanderbilt has converted 79.2% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on the road.
The Utah Jazz have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should boost possessions for the Kings.
The Kings have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which can also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The matchup against the Kings is a tough one for field goals; opposing squads have compiled the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (48.8%).
The Utah Jazz check in as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA on the road this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season.
Jarred Vanderbilt will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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