Jarred Vanderbilt Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2022

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NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Utah Jazz · Dec 28, 2022

Updated Dec 28, 2022 9:40 PM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarred Vanderbilt has converted 58.2% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA over this stretch of games.
The Utah Jazz have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.1 free throws per game since the start of last season (most in the league).
The matchup against Kevon Looney is a good one for shots from the field; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a massive 62.9% of their shots from the field (10th percentile).

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has successfully made 64.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 21st percentile out of all players in the league.
Jarred Vanderbilt has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's most-whistled in recent days: 90th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a challenging one; they have allowed the 5th-least points per game in the league to their opposition this year (117.3).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league since the start of last season.
As a team, the Utah Jazz have been bad at getting to the free throw line: 8th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 22.4 free throw attempts per game.