Jarred Vanderbilt Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · May 22, 2023

Updated May 23, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-425).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jarred Vanderbilt has attempted 1.3 three-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 0.2 rate last year.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for 3-pointers; their opposition have put up the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (34.2%).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
Jarred Vanderbilt will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has converted 21.7% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 14th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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