Jarred Vanderbilt Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:45 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the league this year (the Spurs).
The Spurs have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Jarred Vanderbilt will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces stat production across the board.

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