Jarred Vanderbilt Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/18/2023

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Jarred Vanderbilt

NBA · Player Props

Jarred Vanderbilt

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 18, 2023

Updated May 19, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jarred Vanderbilt Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-123).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jarred Vanderbilt has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (81st percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.
Jarred Vanderbilt will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces player production for all stats.

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