Jaren Jackson Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 2:55 AM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has put up 4.4 defensive rebounds per game this year on the road, ranking him among the best in the league by this standard recently: 84th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 30.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA on the road this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.4 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 6.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Jaren Jackson Jr. ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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