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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/18/2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has successfully made 50.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games at home, 11.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season while at home.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has played 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
  • This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup.
  • The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while traveling, which ought to raise opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 99th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.2 fouls per game while at home this year.
  • When it comes to treys, the Grizzlies's subpar 36.2% rate of drained threes while at home measures as the 10th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has made just 4.2 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 5.1 mark last season.
  • Over the last 19 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls.

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